LONDON/BERLIN/MILAN: Luxury carmakers are bracing for a hit to one of their most profitable markets as the war in Iran disrupts demand in the Gulf, a region known for high-margin bespoke sales.

A laser-engraved hood inspired by Arabian architecture and a matching wood-trimmed interior are among the luxuries Rolls-Royce featured in a one-off Phantom Arabesque model commissioned by a Dubai customer, which it showcased in February before the Iran war.

Now the Middle East market, which in volume terms accounts for less than 10 percent of sales at most luxury carmakers but punches far above its weight in profit, is under threat just as demand is weakening almost everywhere around the globe.

A standard Rolls-Royce Phantom starts at about £430,000 (US$572,416), but the addition of bespoke features for wealthy Gulf buyers can push prices far above that; for some models, bespoke additions can double or triple the price tag.

Rolls-Royce Motor Cars, owned by Germany's BMW, revealed the Arabesque just a week after opening its second Dubai showroom, before U.S.-Israeli strikes on Iran, followed by Iran's strikes on the Gulf, sent shockwaves across the region.

"It's the best market in the world," Bentley CEO Frank-Steffen Walliser said earlier this month of the Middle East.

But many luxury dealerships in the Gulf closed temporarily after the war broke out on February 28. Ferrari and Stellantis unit Maserati paused deliveries this month, although both say showrooms have since reopened.

In an emailed response to questions, Rolls-Royce said it was "closely monitoring" the situation in the Middle East.

"Given the fluidity of the situation, it would be premature to speculate on longer-term impacts," the automaker added.

Meanwhile, First Motors in Dubai, which sells top luxury car brands, shut its doors for the first few days after the war started, but has since reopened.

Director Chris Bull said the showroom is best known for its selection of Ferraris and Bugattis, and it sells vehicles ranging from about $250,000 to $14 million.

Bull said since First Motors reopened, business is down about 30 percent, although sales of cars priced at more than $1.4 million have stabilised. Its sales outside the United Arab Emirates remain robust.

"Obviously, fewer people are walking in the front door ... But we're still managing to maintain a good level of business," Bull said, adding some buyers will pay up to 30,000 euros ($34,512) to fly a $7 million car out of the country.

High-margin Market at Risk

Brands including Lamborghini, like Bentley, a unit of Volkswagen, Italy's Ferrari, Tata Motors' Jaguar Land Rover, and Germany's Porsche are watching nervously, hoping for a swift end to the conflict.

"It's very high margin," Volkswagen CEO Oliver Blume said of Middle East sales in a media briefing earlier this month, adding of the Iran war: "We will see an impact there for sure".

Most luxury and premium automakers do not break out profit margins by region, and some, including Bentley and Rolls-Royce, no longer publish global sales numbers.

But Ferrari reported that volumes in the Middle East accounted for 4.6 percent of overall sales last year, more than it sold in China and up from 3.5 percent in 2024. The Italian sports car maker's sales in the region are stable for now, a spokesperson said.

A hallmark of the region is limited-edition runs that allow automakers to charge hefty premiums for special wood trim, mother-of-pearl inlays, or even gold-leaf finishes.

In 2024, for instance, JLR sold 20 "Sadaf" edition Range Rover Sport SV vehicles for about £330,000 each - around three times the starting price in Britain.

Former Aston Martin CEO Andy Palmer said that during his tenure, the first calls would be to wealthy collectors in the Middle East to offer high-margin special editions. "You almost didn't need to ask," Palmer told Reuters.

Now this bespoke business in the region has all but ground to a halt, industry executives said. "People in the Middle East have other thoughts than looking for a new Bentley at the moment," Bentley CEO Walliser said.

Demand Pressures Mount Globally

As U.S. sales have been hit by uncertainty over tariffs and demand in China and Europe has slumped, high-end automakers are left with few remaining sources of growth and are even contemplating cutting production.

Even before the Iran war, Bentley's sales fell by five percent last year, although the carmaker's CFO, Axel Dewitz, said this month that the company does not yet see the need to cut production. "However, if the current crisis endures for a couple of weeks, I think we would need to revisit the situation," he said.

Lamborghini CEO Stephan Winkelmann said the company has faced multiple challenges since the COVID-19 pandemic, adding that "there is no new American market out there that we can tap into to boost our sales volumes."

Sales in Russia halted after Moscow invaded Ukraine in 2022; the luxury market in China has "collapsed"; tariffs have hit Lamborghini's most important market, the United States; and now business is at a standstill in the Middle East, he said.

For former Aston Martin CEO Palmer, the situation is unlike any he can remember. "For a manufacturer of premium and luxury cars in particular, it's an utter disaster."